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Showing posts from March, 2020

This Week Highlight - Dollar Flies High Again!

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Since mid february to early March, the US Dollar (USDX) fell sharply from 99.50 high to 94.50 bottom after the pandemic outbreak caused the Dow market to plummet. The unprecedented rate cut in FED policy from 1.5 percent right down to Zero percent now has effectively slash the Dollar strength! In an unanimous efforts by all other major central banks. the European Central Bank rolled out EUR750 billion of stimulus package to support market securities following the U.S. FED action. Meanwhile, Bank of England also cut the benchmark rate to 0.1 percent in 2 times within a month and also increased the asset purchase program to GBP645 billion. In Japan, the central bank injected USD137 billion equivalent in Yen to support the Nikkei market while PM Abe has vowed to lift the recovery in greater efforts than the Lehman crisis erupted in 2008! On top of all these spontaneous stimuli, the Int'l Monetary Fund vows to standby EUR50 billion fund to aid those needy countries to fight th

28 Mar Sat: Happy weekend and Opp for Biz Exposure

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Since we started the first podcast in Youtube "DWChannel" on 14 Feb (Valentine's day), the subscribers' rate has reached above 10,000 in just less 2 months and still growing. Thank you for the great support and compliments from many associates, pals and new friends from all over the region. Moving forward, we plan to create some meaningful contents like below: 1) A series of 10 short videos covering whole biz opp in ASEAN 10 countries and macro interpretation in setting biz within this region. 2) A series of vidoes introducing lifestyle videos covering Singapore places of interest and their economic value to overall growth in our country. 3) A series of market trends and outlook for regional financial markets. 4) A series of learning and human values in our daily living. We wish to open the collaboration of small sponsorship from all potential partners who can insert a 10 seconds slide (existing corp video or to be made by our tech team) into our video a

3月28號:周末平安 愉快。發佈商務信息

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自從2月24號以來,我們在 YouTube 開播 DWChannel 頻道的第一集以來,沒想到短短的2個月内已經超越10,000 個訂閲戶。在此,我們非常感謝感激大家的支持和愛戴!當然,訂閲戶和觀覽流量還在一直不停的增長。。。 目前,我們一直收到追隨者、好友、夥伴們的回饋,大力贊嘆我們的内容有創新點子,還有深度含義的啓發!謝謝大家的認同。 爲了從現在開始,我們能夠做更好的視頻内容,技術組團隊建議徵求贊助商作爲我們的夥伴,可以植入片頭 10秒 -12秒的公司片段,還有在封面印上贊助公司的名字和標志做爲 幫助他們增加 瀑光率的平臺!除此之外,我們可以安排贊助商做面談或越洋對話内容! 接下來,我們計劃想要做的視頻内容包括: 1) 亞細安地區的宏觀概況與發展商務的强能 (10集精選) 2)新加坡知名旅游景點和經濟發展的模式 (10集精選) 3) 黃達股事 若是任何商家對這些視頻短片有興趣做爲贊助,我們都非常歡迎!有了這些支持我們的商家,我們可以有效並做更全面的區域推廣,讓更多人來觀瀾我們的視頻内容。 試想,當您贊助的視頻所擁有的區域瀏覽量不停上升的時候,更多人會接觸到您的業務和服務性質。您也可以把這些視頻推廣到朋友圈和客戶群裏頭,而您所需要支付的費用只是一次性,但是視頻的庫存價值卻是永遠收藏在我們YouTube 的視頻圖書館内!一直到未來,都會有上綫網民不停重看我們的視頻。 每集不超過 1000 新幣的費用,卻能夠爲您帶來無止境的正面效應和覆蓋市場的瀑光率,絕對是一套有效杠桿的交易!一起謀取雙贏的局面! 到現在位置,我們最高收視率的一段視頻是超過 11,000 的觀流量,主要來自印度、越南、泰國、大馬和新加坡等等。即使在廣播臺或是報章雜志,您也許得不到這樣的觀瀾流量,而且過了一天之候,再也沒有人會看就新聞,然而我們的YouTube 視頻卻不存在這個問題。 任何商家或是朋友,若是有意洽談合作方案,敬請直接 臉書 私聊,或是電郵 至 apsrico@gmail.com 我們恭候您的未來美好成果。感謝您的閲讀!

Crude Plunges to 18-Year Low

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The Crude prices have plunged to 18-year low and shatter the dreams for the long traders and crush the rice bowl of physical players! Last week, WTI Crude touched the almost USD20 /barrel that has not been seen after  March 2003 . In this snippet, we shall reveal the story behind the bears. In early March, Saudi MInister tried to negotiate with Russia for cutting the oil production after April for supporting the market prices. Unexpectedly, Russia disagreed to this proposal this time and refused to comply as the profit margin has reduced over years. Since a decade ago, the largest oil producer has been U.S. in shale oil that becomes a real threat to the Crude producing countries. No matter how much supply cut has been introduced by OPEC members and Russia since 2016, prices have been dropping and unable to compete with the rising output of U.S. exporters. After the weekend of rift between Saudi and Russia, the first party has announced the intention to increase production

20 Mar Fri: Singapore Stock Market 2020

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20 Mar Fri: Happy and Beautiful Friday to all traders and friends. This is a special edition launched today. Watch it while it's fresh from the oven! Winning Stock Picks! Don't forget to subscribe to our DWChannel so you'll never be left alone! Singapore Stock Market 2020:Is STI Crashing down or Making a Reversal soon? Singapore Stock Market 2020 (Part 2): Winning Stock Pick. Belief it or not?

3月17日:一同來參考國際原油暴跌和最後的結局將會何去何從!

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國際原油暴跌:預判未來。洗牌後的結局是什麼?教你如何獲利。

14 March Sat: A must-watch short video on Market Trend now!

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Good Saturday to all friends and people. Many have asked me if the market crash is now here at the doorstep. Instead of answering to everyone, please watch this short video and find out when will be the true market crash in our expectation!

3月16日:人生和市場感想 2020

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自從 2016年,每個開年一月份 (除了今年沒有), 我都會做一天的精品課程,滿足一班跟著我已經好多年的交易投資學生,讓他們對一整年的趨勢有一定的把握和設置自己的投資計劃。 過去幾年,我一直重複說 老天很快就要重新洗牌了,持有著善良、淳樸、熱愛學習、老老實實、卻又懂得適度放大杠桿和做好風控的人,能夠安然度過這次的波折! 等著等著,誰也沒有想到這次的危機源頭,竟然是病毒菌種在作怪,我一直預判造成下一個世界經濟危機的根源,也許是歐盟囯的債務捲土重來,加上英國脫歐,更是有捉襟見肘的趨勢。 這次的疫情越來越嚴重,也許真的是老天大洗牌的一場遊戲,誰也阻擾不了!經過下來一年的洗滌,許多財富將會轉手。囂張作惡的人,趕緊回頭是岸,不可逆流而行,背道而馳。世界就是人類的舞台,大家拭目以待。 從前有個很陳老的故事: 當一群豺狼虎豹聚在一起,一直成群結隊去攻擊小獵物多年,並持續橫行世界。到了如今的非常關鍵時期,小獵物都被殺光,或是跑回動洞裡躲著不出來。當大家再找不到獵物的時候,這些豺狼虎豹只有轉向自己的團隊成員,企圖分剮最大片的肉。 原油價錢已經開始割喉戰,下來到年尾所有的原油出產囯都會受影響,甚至很多國家會面臨破產,無法再維持補貼成本。以我個人估計,在中東區引發戰爭也許會是多個可能的結果之一。 今年,好好照顧自己和家人的健康,不好隨意把老本丟進市場,只因爲一時的貪念或是相信周邊人的唆使。當然,以上全部都只是個人猜測,善意提醒大家提高警覺性,因爲 最大的熊市終於越來越靠近了! 要嘛就是搭個熊市順風車,要嘛就是回家去避開大黑熊,別搞些無厘頭的事情遺憾下半輩子!我的猜測,第三波的大熊市將在下半年出動了,大家好好謹慎對待。 祝大家順遂健康平安。

What Happen after U.S. Shutdown?

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What Happen after U.S. Shutdown? On 1 October, the U.S. announced shutdown in its federal government and laid off about 800,000 civil workers for garden leave. However, this is almost next to nothing while compared to country’s population of 315 million. Many people are confident that President Obama will reach an agreement in the U.S. Congress with Republican Party and resume the operation very soon. However, the political impasse has lasted more than 5 days and longer than what most have thought! Rated as World’s first economy, America is facing defunct in growth while federal debt keeps enlarging. The partial closure of federal government is just a hoax to create short-term plunge in regional markets. However, what is the real objective behind the President’s administration for making such a “strategic move”? In my personal opinion, President Obama will finish his office-term in early 2015. Putting anyone in his shoes, a country leader would want to leave his name hanging in

A New Era in Fund Raising: Cryptos Offerings

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A New Era in Fund Raising: Cryptos Offerings Over the last twelve months, the global markets have been overwhelmed by a streak of frenzy on Initial Coin Offerings (ICO). Many new business start-ups have found this channel as the fastest and most convenient way to raise fund from a couple of millions or more, for their business expansion. Undeniably, many of these project vendors are bogus or have not reinforced a proper and legal structure to protect the investors’ monies. True enough, the ICO exercise is a very straightforward way to solicit monies from investors’ pockets unlike the multi-thresholds of getting a loan from banks. Unfortunately, most investors are still oblivious of the hidden risk if the due diligence of such project is not properly done by industrial professionals. It could be worse if the investment scheme is operated through a referral scheme, hence the introducer of this crypto-investment is actually hoping to get some bonus payment upon your monetary entry in

Bombardier Sold to Alstom

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Bombardier Sold to Alstom On 17 February Monday, the world's third largest aircraft manufacturer - Bombardier was sold to French company Alstom. Bombardier was formed in 1989 and incorporated in Canada, with an average annual revenue estimated at USD11 billion for past 3 years. On Monday at above date, Bombardier has agreed to sell its rail division to France’s Alstom for an enterprise value of USD8.2 billion. The spokesman of the company says the aircraft manufacturer can focus at higher concentration in expanding the aviation business and pay down its corporate debt. The sale transaction includes equity plus debt. After the deal, most of the payment portion will be settled by newly issued Alstom shares. Both companies, buyer and seller, have confirmed in separate statements. According to the spokesman of Bombardier, the selling company will be receiving net proceeds somewhat between USD4.2 - USD4.5 billion upon the sale, while the balance will be paid off Canadian

Why should SMEs Focus in China Market?

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Why should SMEs Focus in China Market? Since China opened its economic door in Y1980 by the late Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping, no one would have expected then of the humongous stride in its achievement in just 30 years’ time. Just after China celebrates its first 30-years benchmark of new economic policy, we have seen a great leap in its world status ever since it was admitted into World Trade Organization in Y2001. What is left behind for our wild guess is how much more China can achieve when it is stepping into the threshold of next 30-years from Y2010. As late Deng said, the first 3 decades were only meant to consolidate infrastructure and hardware foundation. The second phase of another 3 decades will be the genuine development of economic growth after the first stage was done properly. Looking at the current global economy, China has fast risen to become the second largest economy in Y2010 bypassing Germany and Japan . As China has 23 provinces with many aggregate c

Is Yield Curve Signalling a Downgrade Risk?

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Is Yield Curve Signalling a Downgrade Risk? There are many types of bonds ranging from those issued by Government treasuries, municipal departments to corporations. In simple definition, bonds are IOUs that strike a lending agreement between two parties based on the mutually agreed interest repayment to be paid periodically until upon maturity-term. Otherwise, zero-coupon bonds are those sold below face value but can be redeemed at full maturity-term with a one-time repayment of compound interest. Generally speaking, long-term bonds pay higher yields than short-term bonds owing to flexibility of tenure by the borrowers. However, there are times when these two periodic yields go vice-versa and form an Inverted Yield Curve. Unfortunately, such situation is interpreted as ominous sign when it emerges in treasury-debt markets. When the yields of these 2-year bonds and 10-year bonds turned flat during the financial crisis period in Y2007 – 2008, the yield curve signalled recession tha

Turkey in Turmoil

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Turkey in Turmoil Just when we wrote about Turkey as a powerful emerging market 2 weeks ago, this country unexpectedly turns to turmoil of civil unrest. The fear of Arab Spring might have splattered into Turkey, though some frustrating entrepreneurs complain that the irrational protestors have turned the steady economic growth into Arab Winter instead! It all started with a squabble of re-development in city estate. The dreadful civil unrest has tripped into the biggest protest movements against the Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan since he was elected more than 10 years ago. The Gezi Park situated in the central city of Istanbul is the last piece of green land inside the commercial district. Recently, the local authorized announced the plan to demolish it and be replaced by a shopping mall. This government decision has not been going popular among the nearby residents despite the district judge reiterated this is part of the renovation project of Taksim Squa

What Happen after U.S. Shutdown?

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What Happen after U.S. Shutdown? On 1 October, the U.S. announced shutdown in its federal government and laid off about 800,000 civil workers for garden leave. However, this is almost next to nothing while compared to country’s population of 315 million. Many people are confident that President Obama will reach an agreement in the U.S. Congress with Republican Party and resume the operation very soon. However, the political impasse has lasted more than 5 days and longer than what most have thought! Rated as World’s first economy, America is facing defunct in growth while federal debt keeps enlarging. The partial closure of federal government is just a hoax to create short-term plunge in regional markets. However, what is the real objective behind the President’s administration for making such a “strategic move”? In my personal opinion, President Obama will finish his office-term in early 2015. Putting anyone in his shoes, a country leader would want to leave his name hanging in

Has the World Economy Slowed Down?

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Has the World Economy Slowed Down? In early August, China’s manufacturing PMI reduced its growth pace to 47.8 in July while U.S. ISM manufacturing PMI also slowed down to 52.7 reading. Both largest economy in the world have reported the growth to be lower than previous month. The Greek crisis has not been resolved since the economic damage is so severe. Even a new bailout will probably not be able to save the country from eventually leaving European community. In Asia, Japan’s central bank has promised to remain monetary expansion at JPY80 trillion per year. Unfortunately, the market investors have yet seen the Nikkei raising above 21,000 levels and Yen stops weakening at beyond 124.00 levels against greenback. Most importantly, China is the centre of limelight after the Shanghai stocks fell recently. The Chinese index has lost its momentum and failed to stand above 4000 benchmarks from recent recovery. Most Asia stock indexes have slid recently following the bears emerging acr

The Uncertainty in Europe Looms

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The Uncertainty in Europe Looms L ast week, a suicidal bomb went loose in Manchester Arena during the concert of pop singer Ariana Grande and claimed 22 lives. British government has called for a suspension of all rally campaign that is supposed to prepare for the National polling on 8 June. The Islamic State of Iraq has claimed responsibility for the attack. Currently, the U.K. national security is going through tight scrutiny and high alert for maintaining social peace. For the coming June, we have had expected a smooth victory from Conservatives Party led by Theresa May. The ruling government is in the midst of negotiating more benefits with European Union to mitigate the setbacks of BREXIT. Sometime in mid-June, the U.S. FOMC will hold their mid-year interest rate meeting while most people had anticipated a rate hike. With the current political risk faced by President Trump on the investigation on his link to Russia operatives, we would expect no action from policymakers sinc